The Philippines is playing an increasingly important role in Asia's security landscape as the rivalry between China and the United States intensifies. According to a new report from the Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI), the country is now modernising its defence and has strengthened ties with the United States.

In a press release from FOI, it is stated that the Philippines has begun restructuring its defence forces with an increased emphasis on the navy and air force. This is happening against the backdrop of rising tensions in the South China Sea and an ongoing geopolitical tug-of-war between China and the United States.

– The Philippines' security situation is very interesting. This is partly due to the country's relationship with China and partly due to its role in the larger power struggle in the region, says Olivier Milland, an analyst at FOI, in the press release.

The country's defence capability is still considered limited, especially at sea. Meanwhile, the United States has gained access to nine Philippine military bases, which according to Milland, marks a clear geopolitical signal towards China. He also points out that China is acting more aggressively in the area and is trying to influence the Philippines from within through investments and political influence.

FOI also highlights domestic political challenges, where clan rule and corruption pose obstacles to stability. An ongoing peace process with Muslim groups in southern Philippines is described as an important step, but the political system is still characterised by dynasties and a weak party system.

Sweden's increased interest in cooperation with the Philippines has previously been noted by the Nordic Defence Sector. In June 2024, the countries signed an agreement that allows participation from the Swedish defence industry in Philippine procurements. According to FOI, Sweden can thereby contribute to strengthening security in the region while creating opportunities for defence exports.

– Sweden is a NATO country, and what strengthens the United States also strengthens us in the long run. We can contribute by strengthening the alliance indirectly, for example through defence exports and knowledge exchange, says Milland.